Field report · Shenzhen and Guangzhou · October 2026

China, seen from inside its factories

They are already ahead, and the gap widens every quarter

In October 2026, a delegation of French manufacturers travelled to the Shenzhen bay area and Guangzhou. This report sets out what they saw, and what every manufacturer can do to turn the tide, with first wins in a hundred days and a scale-up decision at six months.

The summary: 5 min Full report: 35 min AI share: 25%
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Why this report

Recent European studies look at China through trade, costs and subsidies, and draw policy responses from them. This document looks at it from inside the factories, through the eyes of manufacturers. It focuses on decisions every leader can make themselves. A sector-by-sector reading is in chapter 4.

The essentials

What to remember

1
China's lead is measured in speed of development and deployment.

An AI camera deployed in two days at XPENG. A garment delivered 28 days after its design at Shein. BYD reports one vehicle every 52 seconds.

2
A large share of the cost gap comes from decisions you control.

In automotive, Roland Berger attributes about 60% of the cost gap to design and production architecture. In electronics, Honor designs 75% of its critical machines.

3
This lead is reaching Europe, and the gap is widening.

Chinese brands went from 5.6% to 11.2% of the European car market in a year. Shein runs production for Pimkie. H&T is preparing its own household appliance brands. And the 2026-2030 five-year plan already names the next sectors: robotics, semiconductors, biomedicine, aerospace.

Five decisions to make
  1. Identify your critical machines and processes, and decide which to bring in house.
  2. Set up a second source outside China for your critical components.
  3. Assess the Chinese offer before your next investment in robots, mobile robots or vision.
  4. Spot the Chinese suppliers who know your product well enough to become your competitors.
  5. Send engineers to learn in Shenzhen, then bring them back.

Each decision is detailed in chapter 4.

Conclusion

Western manufacturers can still narrow the gap, if they act now.

Read the conclusion and the ten questions
Sources

How we worked, and the limits of the exercise: appendix A.